Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.001110 0.001165 0.001223 0.001285 0.001352 0.001422 0.001499
2025-07-20 0.001023 0.001104 0.001189 0.001287 0.001395 0.001512 0.001649
2025-07-27 0.000963 0.001062 0.001169 0.001294 0.001438 0.001599 0.001792
2025-08-03 0.000922 0.001034 0.001159 0.001309 0.001485 0.001688 0.001940
2025-08-10 0.000879 0.001000 0.001138 0.001307 0.001510 0.001750 0.002055
2025-08-17 0.000828 0.000953 0.001098 0.001278 0.001500 0.001766 0.002114
2025-08-24 0.000789 0.000918 0.001069 0.001261 0.001501 0.001794 0.002186
2025-08-31 0.000763 0.000897 0.001056 0.001261 0.001522 0.001847 0.002291
2025-09-07 0.000733 0.000869 0.001033 0.001247 0.001523 0.001873 0.002361
2025-09-14 0.000707 0.000846 0.001014 0.001237 0.001528 0.001903 0.002436
2025-09-21 0.000683 0.000823 0.000995 0.001225 0.001529 0.001928 0.002504
2025-09-28 0.000659 0.000799 0.000973 0.001208 0.001524 0.001943 0.002558
2025-10-05 0.000628 0.000767 0.000942 0.001180 0.001504 0.001940 0.002591
2025-10-12 0.000613 0.000755 0.000934 0.001183 0.001527 0.001997 0.002714
2025-10-19 0.000600 0.000745 0.000930 0.001190 0.001555 0.002063 0.002853
2025-10-26 0.000590 0.000739 0.000931 0.001203 0.001592 0.002142 0.003017
2025-11-02 0.000575 0.000725 0.000921 0.001202 0.001607 0.002190 0.003136
2025-11-09 0.000553 0.000701 0.000895 0.001176 0.001586 0.002184 0.003168
2025-11-16 0.000535 0.000682 0.000877 0.001161 0.001579 0.002198 0.003232
2025-11-23 0.000524 0.000672 0.000870 0.001161 0.001596 0.002247 0.003357
2025-11-30 0.000509 0.000656 0.000854 0.001149 0.001592 0.002265 0.003429
2025-12-07 0.000496 0.000643 0.000841 0.001139 0.001592 0.002288 0.003512
2025-12-14 0.000483 0.000629 0.000828 0.001128 0.001590 0.002307 0.003588